Calendar / Affordability Series - Session #1

Overview: Cost Elements, Opportunities & Barriers

Establish a shared definition of affordability (price vs payment vs lifecycle), align on a representative local baseline project type, and introduce the full end-to-end housing cost structure so later sessions stay grounded in mechanisms and numbers rather than anecdotes.

How this fits in the series

Builds on: none — this is the starting point
Leads to: A2A11

Core concepts and execution implications

  • Affordability must be defined before it can be improved (price, payment, lifecycle).
    • Can state which definition they're optimizing and why.
  • Housing cost is layered; each lever sits in a specific cost element.
    • Can place any idea into the cost structure and discuss tradeoffs cleanly.
  • Local baseline matters; abstractions without a baseline mislead.
    • Can reference a shared baseline project when debating costs and levers.

Connections

The framework spans three stages (Build, Finance, Operations) with cost elements, cost reduction opportunities, policy levers, and 9 model dimensions.


How to use this page in 90 seconds

  • Skim the cost elements to see where housing costs actually hide (Tables 1 & 2 below).
  • Use the sessions map at the bottom to see what's coming in A2–A11.
  • Use the AF Explorer for drill-down; this page is the teaching layer, not the reference database.

The three-table framework

The framework organizes housing cost analysis into three interconnected views.

Table 1: Cost Elements (CE) — What housing costs

L1 categories across three stages: Build (B01–B13), Finance (F00–F04), and Operations (O01–O05).

Description ID Est. Range
Build stage (one-time)
Land acquisition — price, yield, allowed typesB01-Land$45–60K
Pre-development — entitlement, due diligence, land carryB02-PreDev$2–15K
Permits & local fees — building permits, plan check, adminB03-Permits$10–25K
Utility fees — water, sewer, storm, tapsB04-Utilities$10–30K
Site & infrastructure — grading, streets, parking, drainageB05-SiteInfra$30–75K
Soft costs — architecture, engineering, legalB06-SoftCosts$15–40K
Building construction — materials, labor, subsB07-BuildCost$210–305K
Temporary & indirect — site office, temp utilities, cleanupB08-TempIndirect$8–20K
Risk & insurance — builder's risk, GL, warranty reservesB09-RiskIns$5–15K
Finance — construction interest, loan fees, carry costsB10-Finance$20–80K
Overhead — builder G&A, office, managementB11-Overhead$15–40K
Contingency — scope uncertainty, change ordersB12-Contingency$10–30K
Return — profit, marketing, sales costB13-Return$20–50K
Finance stage
Construction financing — loan fees, interest, carry costsF00-ConstructionFinancing$20–80K
Mortgage principal payment (monthly)F01-Principalvaries
Mortgage interest payment (monthly)F02-Interestvaries
Private mortgage insurance — PMI (monthly)F03-PMI$0–5K/yr
Buyer closing costs (one-time)F04-ClosingCosts$3–8K
Operations stage (monthly)
Utilities — energy, water, sewerO01-Utilities$180–400/mo
Maintenance & reserves — repairs, replacementsO02-Maint$75–250/mo
Property & hazard insuranceO03-PropIns$120–300/mo
Property taxes & assessmentsO04-Taxes$250–550/mo
HOA / common area — shared maintenance, reservesO05-HOA$0–350/mo
Table 2: Cost Reduction Opportunities (CRO) — Where savings come from

22 opportunities with estimated value ranges. Values are not additive.

Description ID Est. Range
One-time savings
Increase effective residential densityCRO-DENSITY$15–60K
Reduce project durationCRO-DURATION$3–25K
Reduce permit and review burdenCRO-PERMIT_FEES$2–10K
Differentiate utility tap fees by demandCRO-UTILITY_FEES$5–20K
Relax landscaping/tree requirementsCRO-LANDSCAPE$0.3–1.5K
Reduce off-site infrastructure obligationsCRO-INFRA_BURDEN$5–50K
Share infrastructure across units/projectsCRO-SHARED_INFRA$3–25K
Right-size street and parking standardsCRO-STANDARDS$5–30K
Pre-approve plans/details/archetypesCRO-PREAPPROVAL$5–30K
Reduce entitlement-driven design reworkCRO-DESIGN_PREDICTABILITY$3–20K
Standardize plans, details, specificationsCRO-STANDARDIZE$3–15K
Adopt modular/prefabricated systemsCRO-METHODS$5–30K
Simplify building geometryCRO-SIMPLIFY$3–15K
Reduce minimum home sizeCRO-SIZE$10–50K
Reduce financing uncertainty and carry costsCRO-FIN_PREDICTABILITY$3–20K
Update underwriting for proven modelsCRO-UNDERWRITE$3–20K
Reduce property tax burden for smaller unitsCRO-TAXES$2–12K
Reduce hazard risk through standardized mitigationCRO-MITIGATION$3–25K
Monthly savings
Improve energy & water efficiencyCRO-EFFICIENCY$30–150/mo
Increase durability of assembliesCRO-DURABILITY$20–125/mo
Reduce insurance premiums via risk reductionCRO-INSURANCE_CREDITS$10–100/mo
Lower mortgage rates for high-performance homesCRO-GREEN_MORTGAGE$20–80/mo
Table 3: Barriers & Levers — What blocks savings

71+ specific barriers mapped to CROs—too large to display inline.

Each barrier entry includes: CRO ID, barrier description, barrier short name, barrier type, scope, and the authority who can act. The full table is available as a separate reference.


How we will use this framework

In each session we'll focus on a few Cost Elements - understanding where the money goes - and explore the related Cost Reduction Opportunities and Barriers & Levers. The framework is large and we won't be able to discuss everything, so we'll prioritize based on where we see the biggest opportunities for impact.


Baseline project archetype

A shared reference point so cost discussions stay grounded.

Throughout this series we'll reference a baseline project: a small-lot detached or attached home (townhome/duplex), roughly 1,200–1,600 sq ft finished, built at modest density (8–16 units per acre) in the Northern Colorado / Front Range area. The archetype assumes conventional wood-frame construction, municipal utilities, and standard code compliance. Dollar figures in session pages are calibrated to this archetype; adjust for your own context as needed.


Sessions

# Topics Cost Elements Cost Reduction Opportunities
A2 Land, zoning, entitlement B01-Land, B02-PreDev, B10-Finance DENSITY, DURATION, PREDICTABILITY
A3 Permits, fees, taps B03-Permits, B04-Utilities, B06-SoftCosts, B10-Finance PERMIT_FEES, UTILITY_FEES, PREDICTABILITY
A4 Infrastructure & site development B05-SiteInfra, B04-Utilities, B01-Land STANDARDS, LANDSCAPE, INFRA_BURDEN, SHARED_INFRA
A5 House size, program, design B07-BuildCost, B06-SoftCosts SIZE, SIMPLIFY, STANDARDIZE
A6 Materials & labor B07-BuildCost METHODS, STANDARDIZE
A7 Alternative building systems B07-BuildCost, B08-TempIndirect, B10-Finance METHODS, PREDICTABILITY
A8 Energy codes & performance O01-Utilities, O02-Maintenance, B07-BuildCost EFFICIENCY, DURABILITY
A9 Financing, carry, risk B10-Finance, B11-Overhead, B12-Contingency, B13-Return, B09-RiskIns, O03-Insurance UNDERWRITE, INSURANCE, MITIGATION
A10 Regulatory & process reform B02-PreDev, B03-Permits, B06-SoftCosts, B10-Finance, B11-Overhead PREDICTABILITY, PREAPPROVAL, PERMIT_FEES, DURATION
A11 Synthesis & playbook All All, prioritized

References & resources